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Sabine Hossenfelder

The Cosmology Crisis Just Got Even Worse

Is Dark Energy Changing Over Time? New Evidence Challenges a Fundamental Cosmic Constant

One of the most intriguing scientific developments in recent years revolves around a profound question in cosmology: Is the cosmological constant truly constant? This constant, often associated with dark energy, has long been thought to drive the accelerated expansion of our universe at a steady rate. However, recent evidence is challenging this notion, suggesting that dark energy might actually be changing over time—specifically, that it was stronger in the past and is now weakening.

What is Dark Energy and the Cosmological Constant?

Dark energy is the mysterious force propelling the universe's expansion to speed up rather than slow down. The simplest explanation for dark energy is the cosmological constant—a fixed amount of energy inherent to empty space itself. Imagine that even "nothing" has energy, more than enough to push galaxies apart faster and faster as time goes on.

New Data Challenges the Constant Nature of Dark Energy

Over the past year, new results from several cutting-edge experiments have hinted that dark energy is not fixed. The Dark Energy Survey (DES) analyzed light from distant supernovae to study how the universe's expansion has changed over time. Simultaneously, the DESI (Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument) project studied the distribution of galaxies and galaxy clusters, focusing on patterns called baryon acoustic oscillations—relics of sound waves from the early universe.

Both DES and DESI found tentative evidence (around a three sigma confidence level) that dark energy is weakening. While this is not definitive proof, it corresponds to roughly a 3 in 1,000 chance that the signal is a fluke.

New Support from the South Pole Telescope

Adding weight to these findings, the South Pole Telescope (SPT) recently released precise measurements of the cosmic microwave background (CMB)—the afterglow radiation from the Big Bang. Unlike telescopes scanning the entire sky, the SPT focuses on a small patch with high precision, measuring temperature and polarization fluctuations.

SPT data confirms the ongoing "Hubble tension"—a discrepancy between local and early universe measurements of the universe's expansion rate—with a striking 6.2 sigma significance. More importantly for dark energy, their data also supports the idea that dark energy was stronger in the past, though their results are slightly closer to the classic cosmological constant model. When combined with DESI data, the evidence for weakening dark energy becomes even stronger.

Why Does This Matter?

If dark energy changes over time, it could help resolve the Hubble tension, an outstanding puzzle in cosmology concerning differing measurements of the universe’s expansion rate. More fundamentally, a time-varying dark energy implies it is not just a constant property of space but a dynamic field permeating the cosmos.

In physics, fields are linked to particles. This means dark energy might be related to a new, undiscovered particle or connected to known particles like the Higgs boson. Various theories have proposed such links, though none have been conclusively validated. These new findings may encourage physicists to revisit these ideas.

Implications for the Fate of the Universe

A constant dark energy predicts that cosmic expansion will accelerate forever, leading to a cold, ever-expanding cosmos. But if dark energy weakens—or even disappears—this could slow or reverse expansion, potentially leading to a cosmic collapse or cyclic universe with recurring big bangs.

Caution and Open Questions

While these results are exciting, they come with caveats. The analyses assume a specific cosmological model, and it’s possible the real solution lies elsewhere—not in dark energy’s constancy, but in our understanding of the universe's overall framework.

Staying Informed with Balanced News

In a world where news often blends facts with opinion, platforms like Ground News offer a valuable way to get a balanced perspective. Ground News aggregates coverage from across the political spectrum, rates factuality, and highlights blind spots in media coverage. This helps readers break out of information bubbles and understand complex issues like these new cosmological findings with context and clarity.


The story of dark energy is still unfolding, and these latest findings invite us to rethink some of our deepest assumptions about the universe. Whether dark energy is truly fading or not, the quest to understand it pushes the boundaries of science—and our imagination.

Stay tuned for more updates on this cosmic mystery, and keep questioning the universe around you.

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