[00:02] (2.13s)
the bullish momentum moves from
[00:03] (3.77s)
one to the other.
[00:04] (4.57s)
>> Right. You're mentioning
[00:05] (5.41s)
Microsoft also at an all time
[00:07] (7.61s)
high. Is this a time to get off
[00:09] (9.28s)
the ship on Microsoft? Joe? Josh
[00:11] (11.85s)
>> I think it's really
[00:13] (13.45s)
interesting here with Microsoft
[00:14] (14.21s)
is if you look at Microsoft
[00:15] (15.88s)
relative to the Q-q-q, it still
[00:17] (17.85s)
has not made a record high
[00:19] (19.69s)
relative to the Q-q-q. I think
[00:21] (21.52s)
there is a lot of power still
[00:23] (23.22s)
behind a lot of these big names,
[00:24] (24.82s)
and I expect them to outperform
[00:26] (26.59s)
in the back half of the year.
[00:28] (28.43s)
Now, coming back to why we.
[00:30] (30.10s)
>> Look at the name you just
[00:32] (32.20s)
trimmed. So if you're expecting
[00:33] (33.20s)
outperform, why would you trim
[00:34] (34.90s)
>> The S&P information
[00:35] (35.47s)
technology S&P is a 33%
[00:36] (36.24s)
weighting I believe we were over
[00:38] (38.14s)
40% information technology.
[00:39] (39.44s)
Again, we took bets in April
[00:41] (41.81s)
that we want to monetize. I
[00:44] (44.24s)
still love looking at Microsoft.
[00:45] (45.65s)
And if we may not be overweight
[00:48] (48.28s)
Nvidia anymore, it's a 6%
[00:49] (49.95s)
weighting in our portfolio is
[00:51] (51.12s)
still pretty large. After
[00:52] (52.89s)
trimming it, Microsoft is still
[00:54] (54.45s)
5% weighting in our portfolio.
[00:55] (55.55s)
But then we also have names like
[00:57] (57.09s)
Broadcom at a 5% weighting. So
[00:58] (58.49s)
it's really how do you put that
[01:00] (60.19s)
piece of pie together. And we
[01:02] (62.13s)
trim we trim those too. So it's
[01:03] (63.40s)
just kind of bringing down that
[01:05] (65.43s)
exposure a little bit, having a
[01:06] (66.20s)
little bit of wiggle room and
[01:08] (68.40s)
not having your pedal to the
[01:09] (69.97s)
metal, you know, full gas here
[01:11] (71.40s)
as as Josh and Joe highlighted
[01:13] (73.77s)
reiterated you can't. Getting
[01:15] (75.31s)
more bullish up here is kind of
[01:17] (77.01s)
difficult right now.
[01:17] (77.48s)
>> All right Joe just mentioned
[01:19] (79.08s)
Apple I want to focus on a
[01:20] (80.91s)
couple of things. Apple's target
[01:22] (82.35s)
price target raised two 250 from
[01:23] (83.72s)
230. Also reiterated overweight
[01:25] (85.39s)
by JP Morgan. At the same time
[01:27] (87.09s)
you're actually buying some
[01:28] (88.45s)
Apple bill. So give us the
[01:29] (89.76s)
thesis. Why buy Apple right
[01:32] (92.06s)
>> Yeah we are looking at our
[01:33] (93.26s)
main portfolio. We're looking to
[01:34] (94.29s)
add Apple haven't done that yet.
[01:35] (95.73s)
But in our concentrated
[01:36] (96.63s)
portfolio where we own no more
[01:38] (98.50s)
than ten names, we really kind
[01:40] (100.20s)
of slashed a handful of them.
[01:42] (102.14s)
And Apple which we've been
[01:44] (104.07s)
underweight in our main
[01:45] (105.00s)
portfolio. We're at weight like
[01:46] (106.64s)
3% in Apple. And this
[01:47] (107.84s)
concentrated portfolio, it's
[01:49] (109.68s)
been on the bottom half of it.
[01:51] (111.34s)
So we wanted to increase the
[01:52] (112.48s)
weighting here. If you look at I
[01:54] (114.18s)
just talked about Microsoft
[01:55] (115.18s)
relative to the QS, Apple
[01:57] (117.22s)
relative to the QS is going back
[01:58] (118.28s)
to really like the 2021 2022
[02:00] (120.45s)
lows. There's a lot of room
[02:01] (121.62s)
here. Now Apple's also unloved.
[02:03] (123.49s)
And I'll tell you one thing
[02:05] (125.19s)
that's continued to work for me
[02:06] (126.13s)
over the last few years is when
[02:08] (128.33s)
Apple is unloved. You close your
[02:10] (130.23s)
eyes and you buy it. And that's
[02:11] (131.20s)
what we're doing here right now.
[02:13] (133.03s)
And I expect to be buying more
[02:14] (134.60s)
Apple in the coming weeks.
[02:16] (136.90s)
>> I like those move. You know,
[02:17] (137.84s)
this is a name that's down 16%.
[02:20] (140.14s)
It is the second worst performer
[02:21] (141.31s)
out of the S&P 20. It's very
[02:23] (143.01s)
rare that Apple is the worst of
[02:24] (144.48s)
the mega cap stocks, or one of
[02:26] (146.61s)
the worst of the mega cap
[02:28] (148.38s)
stocks. The only one worse is
[02:29] (149.72s)
here. Joe mentioned is Tesla.
[02:31] (151.85s)
The trouble with Apple is that
[02:34] (154.32s)
it's still a 33 times trailing
[02:37] (157.36s)
P. My comment to that would be
[02:38] (158.53s)
the market doesn't seem to care.
[02:40] (160.06s)
It's been an expensive PE for
[02:42] (162.16s)
most of the last two years. I
[02:44] (164.46s)
think the reason why the market
[02:46] (166.33s)
is giving it that premium is not
[02:47] (167.73s)
because they're delivering
[02:48] (168.43s)
earnings growth, it's because
[02:49] (169.03s)
someday they will again. So
[02:50] (170.87s)
that's kind of like a bet that
[02:52] (172.17s)
they're going to get their
[02:53] (173.71s)
earnings growth story back
[02:54] (174.91s)
together. It's a little bit
[02:56] (176.31s)
technically a no man's land 3%
[02:57] (177.71s)
above the five day 5% below the
[03:00] (180.45s)
200 day. But here's the thing.
[03:02] (182.25s)
All of a sudden, a couple of
[03:04] (184.78s)
journalists, maybe it'll be the
[03:06] (186.62s)
information, maybe it'll be
[03:08] (188.05s)
TechCrunch. Someone's going to
[03:09] (189.59s)
get word that something special
[03:11] (191.32s)
is happening with AI in
[03:13] (193.09s)
Cupertino. They won't launch a
[03:15] (195.43s)
product, nothing will come out
[03:17] (197.56s)
on stage. But like all of a
[03:18] (198.36s)
sudden you're going to start to
[03:20] (200.47s)
hear this creep into the press.
[03:22] (202.40s)
Apple finally got its AI story
[03:23] (203.67s)
straightened out that could take
[03:25] (205.04s)
the stock to 250. Think about
[03:26] (206.57s)
it. It's a $21 stock going to
[03:28] (208.71s)
25. That's all we're talking
[03:30] (210.11s)
about. It happens every day. So
[03:31] (211.84s)
for Apple to get to 250 as the
[03:34] (214.31s)
sentiment shifts on this AI
[03:36] (216.65s)
debacle, it and think about it
[03:38] (218.72s)
like Tim Cook has never been
[03:40] (220.45s)
under this much pressure to
[03:42] (222.39s)
deliver something. Never. Not in
[03:43] (223.79s)
the whole time he's been running
[03:45] (225.56s)
the business. It's been
[03:47] (227.36s)
milestone after milestone.
[03:48] (228.73s)
Trillions, trillions. This is a
[03:50] (230.90s)
really big deal for Apple. Some
[03:52] (232.70s)
would say existential. I don't
[03:54] (234.47s)
think they'll fail. So they
[03:56] (236.40s)
failed so far. And I think all
[03:58] (238.44s)
you need is a little bit of a